⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
George Springer
George Springer
TOR RHB
George Springer

George Springer

RHB
TOR · 51 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
7.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
19.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.3
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.193
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 4 HRs in 51 games
Due (1×)
1.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
51
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
17
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
2
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
50%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#93.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
2 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-29 #21 Luis Morales Rogers Centre R/R 99.6 mph 362.0 ft
2026-03-30 #7 Tomoyuki Sugano Rogers Centre R/R ⚠️ 105.2 mph 416.0 ft
All Appearances
51 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #93 Brandon Young R/R * 19.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 #63 Trevor Rogers R/L * 16.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-28 #28 Chris Bassitt R/R * 16.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 #93 Sandy Alcantara R/R * 17.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 #84 Janson Junk R/R * 22.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 #162 Mitch Keller R/R * 14.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 #219 Paul Skenes R/R * 13.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-22 #161 Bubba Chandler R/R * 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 #143 Cam Schlittler R/R * 9.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 #108 Will Warren R/R * 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-18 #122 Ryan Weathers R/L * 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-16 #201 Casey Mize R/R * 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #203 Brenan Hanifee R/R * 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #61 Griffin Jax R/R * 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-12 #117 Shane McClanahan R/L * 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-11 #52 Drew Rasmussen R/R * 13.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #109 José Soriano R/R * 10.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #152 Jack Kochanowicz R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #112 Reid Detmers R/L * 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #184 Shane McClanahan R/L * 6.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #99 Drew Rasmussen R/R * 13.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-04 #134 Nick Martinez R/R * 14.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #180 Joe Ryan R/R * 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 #203 Connor Prielipp R/L * 6.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-01 #140 Simeon Woods Richardson R/R * 16.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-30 #81 Bailey Ober R/R * 13.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 #86 Brayan Bello L/R * 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-28 #92 Payton Tolle L/L * 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-27 #32 Ranger Suarez L/L * 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #54 Joey Cantillo R/L 17.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-04-22 #74 José Soriano R/R 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-21 #58 Jack Kochanowicz R/R 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-20 #49 Reid Detmers R/L 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #189 Ryne Nelson R/R 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 #192 Zac Gallen R/R 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #180 Michael Soroka R/R 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 #16 Jacob Misiorowski R/R 27.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #24 Joe Ryan R/R 22.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-10 #32 Simeon Woods Richardson R/R 20.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 #28 Shohei Ohtani R/R 19.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 #7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto R/R 27.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 #3 Justin Wrobleski R/L 31.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-05 #33 Davis Martin R/R 15.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-04 #206 Grant Taylor R/R 2.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-02 #1 Sean Burke R/R 16.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 #18 Kyle Freeland R/L 16.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-31 #36 Ryan Feltner R/R 16.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-30 #7 Tomoyuki Sugano R/R 19.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-03-29 #21 Luis Morales R/R 17.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-03-28 #24 Jeffrey Springs · 17.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 #14 Luis Severino · 15.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·

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